The Buzz ·
The Buzz — Sunday, October 11
This weekend delivered a full ALDS comeback, a 21-strikeout collapse, and an NLCS opener built around two aces — four names, each with the number that says whether the crowd has it right.
THE WIRE · X CHATTER · TRAILING 2D · AS OF 2026-10-11◆THE TAPE · 30-NIGHT CARD MOVES VS THE HOBBY · AS OF OCTOBER 11, 2026◆▲ KEVIN MCGONIGLE — Kevin McGonigle is Baseball America's 2026 MLB Rookie of the Year.◆▲ MIGUEL VARGAS — Miguel Vargas has walked eight times through four ALDS games.◆▲ JACKSON CHOURIO — Jackson Chourio gave Brewers the lead and Garrett Mitchell stole the show to reach a second straight NLCS.◆▲ JACOB MISIOROWSKI — Jacob Misiorowski holds a 1.59 ERA and 40.9% strikeout rate over 17 innings against the Dodgers including postseason.◆▲ REID DETMERS — Reid Detmers last 13 starts: 76.1 IP, 1.89 ERA, 2.54 FIP, 0.89 WHIP, 30.6% K; could crack top-25 SP ranks.◆▲ YOSHINOBU YAMAMOTO — Dodgers starters since 2025 playoffs: Yamamoto 1.42 ERA, Skubal 1.69, Glasnow 1.73, Snell 3.11.◆▲ GAVIN WILLIAMS — Gavin Williams, Jordan Hicks and Parker Messick supply the filthiest pitches from the prior day.◆▲ SEAVER KING — Seaver King is tracking like Javier Baez, matching the clear trajectory laid out in the pre-2024 draft report.◆▲ MICHAEL KING — Michael King worked a first career postseason save on two days' rest to force NLDS Game 4.◆▲ NOLAN GORMAN — Nolan Gorman crushed balls during a swing-design session with Arizona's hitting coordinator.◆▲ GARRETT MITCHELL — Jackson Chourio gave Brewers the lead and Garrett Mitchell stole the show to reach a second straight NLCS.◆▲ JAVIER BÁEZ — Seaver King is tracking like Javier Baez, matching the clear trajectory laid out in the pre-2024 draft report.◆▲ JOSHUA BÁEZ — TAPE: ROOKIE PSA 10 +204.3% $105◆▲ BRANDON MARSH — TAPE: ROOKIE PSA 10 +109.5% $19.00◆▲ PETE CROW-ARMSTRONG — TAPE: FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +90.5% $255◆▲ BRODY HOPKINS — TAPE: FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +60.4% $125◆▲ JUNIOR CAMINERO — TAPE: ROOKIE PSA 10 +59.5% $63.74◆▼ RAFAEL DEVERS — TAPE: ROOKIE PSA 10 -58.5% $21.99◆
Latest finalLos Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers LAD 1, MIL 2NL League Championship Series · Game 1
Today and next — each card keeps itself live at its address
- LAD at MIL · · NL Championship Series, Game 2
- CLE at TB · · AL Championship Series, Game 1
- CLE at TB · · AL Championship Series, Game 2
- MIL at LAD · · NL Championship Series, Game 3
- TB at CLE · · AL Championship Series, Game 3
- MIL at LAD · · NL Championship Series, Game 4
Tomorrow’s stars, in
today’s exit velocities.
We find undervalued baseball talent with validated signals — and put every call on the record before the market moves.
Two sides of one paper: future-value signals for the stat nerd, the card market for the collector — and the same public scorecard under both. That’s the Future Value Radar, on the record.
8HITS13MISSES0OPEN CALLSView the ledger →
What the engine has printed this week
The engine rebuilds every night · boards through
What we wrote
The long-form prospect journeys, the day’s roundup, and the Desk’s latest issue — newest first.
Fever Report No. 033 ·
The Drift
Jonny DeLuca moved four spots on the fade board this window — his results ran further ahead of a bat that's good but not this good.
The Seam ·
Three Years, Ten Games
A 23-year-old center fielder hit a 420-foot home run in his first major-league at-bat on September 12, for a team already eliminated. He has been protected on his club's 40-man roster since November 2023 and is out of options. Ten September games may be the whole of his major-league record for a while, and the date that decides how long is not his.
The Scorecard
Every game, kept mark for mark — reconciled to the official line or the card doesn’t print. Score one live, print one for the park, or learn the notation.
Scored
All 2,430 cards →- Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins TEX 4, MIN 6
- Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies TB 3, PHI 7
- St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers STL 4, MIL 6
- Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers PIT 4, DET 2
- New York Mets at Washington Nationals NYM 4, WSH 6
- Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants LAD 5, SF 1
- Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners LAA 3, SEA 7
- Houston Astros at Athletics HOU 9, ATH 0
+ 6 more from that slate · the same games, dealt out by arm →
The Line of the Day
Every featured line →The Line of the Day · Sat, Oct 10 · night game · AL Division Series, Game 5
José Ramírez
3B · Cleveland Guardians
1-3, HR, 2 RBI, 1 BB
CLE 2 won CWS 0At-bat by at-bat
- 1stF9
- 4thHR
- 6thK
- 8thIBB
Red = home run · Teal = hit · Dots = RBI
First at-bat, a flyout to right. Fourth inning, he got a 78 mph knuckle curve and sent it 348 feet at 97.2 off the bat — a two-run homer that was the whole 2-0 final. Struck out in the sixth, then they intentionally walked him in the eighth.
Signature swing: 348 ft · 97.2 mph off the bat · on a 78 mph knuckle curve
Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.
José Ramírez cards →Print a card →
A hand-scoreable card for any upcoming game — lineups, jersey numbers and probables already inked in, editable before you print.
How to keep score →
The primer: a full inning from scratch, every mark in the order the game hands it to you — built on the notation our own cards print.
The Scorekeeping Shelf →
The scorebooks and apps worth owning, honestly reviewed — every product's real flaws printed beside the praise, and not an affiliate link on the page.
Blue Notes →
The other card we keep: the home-plate umpire, graded against the rulebook zone, and what each missed call was worth.
The Overnight · October 10, 2026
Tristan Peters★ (CWS · AL Division Series, Game 5) — 1-for-3, BB, K +0.08
Brenton Doyle (CWS · AL Division Series, Game 5) — 0-for-2, 2 K -0.51
Patrick Bailey (CLE · AL Division Series, Game 5) — 0-for-3 -0.98
The Chase
The career numbers in reach this season — how many to go, and the date our pace says it falls. The ones that already landed keep their own page.
The next verdict
Every call from the 2026 season has been graded, and every one of them stays on the Ledger, hits and misses alike. A call is measured on regular-season games, so the next one is filed after Opening Day, March 25, 2027.
Today on the Radar
Four boards, one engine: who’s about to get better, who’s about to give it back, and — at Triple-A, bats and arms — who nobody is talking about yet.
The Drift · September 26, 2026 → September 27, 2026
NEW Jahmai Jones (—) · MLB Breakout Board #10
▲4 Jonny DeLuca (TB) · MLB Fade Board 7→3 · Luck gap +0.007
▼4 Héctor Rodríguez☆ (CIN) · MLB Fade Board 4→8 · Luck gap -0.007
▲3 Brenton Doyle (CWS) · MLB Fade Board 14→11 · Luck gap +0.007
▼3 Corey Seager (TEX) · MLB Breakout Board 8→11 · Overlay -0.024
Color is the engine’s read, not the arrow’s direction — slipping down the Fade board is good news.
Breakout
BREAKOUTContact quality outrunning results.
- 2. Edouard Julienev95 105.6
- 3. James Wood★ev95 112.8
- 5. Carlos Narváezev95 105.6
The 27-and-under cut · board rank shown
Fade
FADEResults outrunning contact quality.
- 1. Esteury Ruizgap +0.092
- 2. Brett Batemangap +0.085
- 3. Jonny DeLucagap +0.081
Triple-A
TRIPLE-ABig-league contact, measured at Triple-A.
- 1. Spencer Jonesev95 112.6
- 2. Joshua Báez☆ev95 110.8
- 3. Emmanuel Rodriguezev95 110.7
The Card Back · No. 93
Today’s mystery player: 3 guesses, the whole deck, same card for everyone. Streaks live in your browser.
How it works
1
Signal
Validated on 11 seasons of public play-by-play, then confirmed on a pre-registered out-of-sample holdout — protocol frozen before we looked.
2
Call
Every call is filed with a metric, a threshold, a window, and a timestamp. Falsifiable by design. Nothing is edited after filing.
3
Resolution
When the window closes, the call resolves by computation — hit or miss — and the running record stays public. Misses included.
New on the paper
the newest surfacesNew
The Triple-A cards →
The same engine, one level down. MLB's feed tracks every pitch in every Triple-A park, so the prospects on our boards get real cards too — kept in their own archive, never ranked against the majors.
New
Moments →
When one inning is worth an article, it gets one — written up and filed over the card it happened on.
Live
Score a game live →
Any game on today's slate, kept pitch by pitch in your own browser — at the card's permanent address. The reconciled card takes over the same page overnight.
New
Blue Notes →
The other card we keep: the home-plate umpire, graded against the rulebook zone, and what each missed call was worth.
New
The Line of the Day →
The hitting line worth stopping on, told over its scorecard — the box, every at-bat in order, the swing that made the night.
New
The pitcher's card →
The same reconciled game dealt out by the arm that threw it — every batter he faced, every pitch, in order.
Get the paper
The Sunday Digest: what moved this week, every call’s countdown, the Chase, the Wire. Or go daily with The Overnight — last night’s baseball, graded, every morning. Free.
The Dugout
The FVR community: argue the boards, file your own takes, watch calls resolve live.
Join the DiscordThe X desk
We post a plate most nights — a card only this paper draws. It goes out carrying no link, so every post lands here with the rest of it: the full card, the call on the record, the player’s page.
Every post, with the linksRE24 corr 0.975 with FanGraphs · pre-registered holdout n=721 · 21 calls filed · methodology public