Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 9 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12

The Ledger

Append-only. Every baseball call is filed with a metric, threshold, and window, then resolves by computation when the window closes. Corrections are appended in the open — nothing is ever edited or deleted. A hit rate with the misses removed is marketing, not measurement.

Record: 0 hit · 0 miss · 9 open

Call C0001 · filed 2026-07-11 18:08 UTC · OPEN · 77 days left

James Wood

BREAKOUT

Top-5 MLB contact quality (ev95 112.1) with results lagging process; second-half surge.

Metric
WAR added from filing (FG)
Threshold
2
Baseline
4.18
Window
through 2026-09-27

In plain terms: We're saying he finishes like a star: at least +2 WAR from filing through September 27 — a pace only the game's best sustain. He does it, or the ledger says MISS.

Correction on record: annotation, not an edit: the 2026-07-11 19:19 UTC append captured war_at_filing (4.18) on the day of filing so the +2.0 WAR window has a frozen baseline. This line exists because a reader rightly asked what that corrected_at was.

Resolves by computation, not argument.

RF · 6' 6" · 234 lb · age 23 · born Rockville, MD · Washington Nationals

Last 14 days: 12 G · .442 AVG · 8 HR · 15 RBI · 1.702 OPS

The Wire: Fans and analysts call James Wood a generational talent and one of baseballs best young hitters with elite power and walks. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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James Wood — C0001 baseball call card

Call C0002 · filed 2026-07-11 18:08 UTC · OPEN · 77 days left

Contact results running .092 below park-adjusted expectation on stable quality; results catch up.

Metric
results on contact vs baseline
Threshold
0.03
Baseline
0.3385
Window
through 2026-09-27

In plain terms: We're saying the luck turns: his results on contact climb at least +0.03 over the filing baseline by September 27. The bat has already earned it — the stat line pays up, or we take the miss.

Correction on record: player_id corrected 671277->666397 (was Luis Garcia Jr.); baseline recomputed

Resolves by computation, not argument.

2B · 6' 1" · 195 lb · age 27 · born Quebec City, QC, Canada · Colorado Rockies

Last 14 days: 10 G · .208 AVG · 1 HR · 2 RBI · .762 OPS

The Wire: Fans called him a terrible player after fielding errors cost a game and said he has not been decent in years despite a later home run. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Edouard Julien — C0002 baseball call card

Call C0003 · filed 2026-07-11 18:08 UTC · OPEN · 77 days left

Results on contact outrunning 100.1 ev95 quality by +.056; regression on contact value.

Metric
results on contact vs baseline
Threshold
-0.03
Baseline
0.3465
Window
through 2026-09-27

In plain terms: We're saying the results give it back: value on contact falls at least 0.030 from the filing baseline by September 27. The bat never supported the stat line; gravity does the rest — or we take the miss.

Resolves by computation, not argument.

2B · 6' 0" · 170 lb · age 30 · born Rochester, NY · Toronto Blue Jays

Last 14 days: 12 G · .277 AVG · 1 HR · 4 RBI · .697 OPS

The Wire: Fans praise Clement for a game-tying two-run home run and All-Star caliber hitting while some note shaky defense at second base. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Ernie Clement — C0003 baseball call card

Call C0004 · filed 2026-07-11 18:08 UTC · OPEN · 77 days left

First-half results outran contact quality (+.065 park-adj gap); contact value regresses.

Metric
results on contact vs baseline
Threshold
-0.025
Baseline
0.4406
Window
through 2026-09-27

In plain terms: We're saying the results give it back: value on contact falls at least 0.025 from the filing baseline by September 27. The bat never supported the stat line; gravity does the rest — or we take the miss.

Resolves by computation, not argument.

LF · 6' 0" · 225 lb · age 24 · born Trenton, FL · Texas Rangers

Last 14 days: 4 G · .250 AVG · 1 HR · 2 RBI · .771 OPS

The Wire: Fans and analysts highlight Langford delivering walk-off hits, late home runs and key contributions after returning from the injured list. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Wyatt Langford — C0004 baseball call card

Call C0005 · filed 2026-07-11 18:08 UTC · OPEN · 445 days left

Joshua Baez

PRE-CONSENSUS

AAA ev95 110.7 at 23 grades MLB-power-caliber; debuts and sticks within 14 months.

Metric
MLB debut by window end
Threshold
Baseline
Window
through 2027-09-30

In plain terms: We're saying he's a big-leaguer by September 30, 2027. Simple, binary, and on the clock.

Correction on record: player_id corrected 699134->695491 (was Bradgley Rodriguez)

Resolves by computation, not argument.

RF · 6' 3" · 220 lb · age 23 · born Boston, MA · Memphis Redbirds

Last 14 days: 10 G · .135 AVG · 2 HR · 4 RBI · .584 OPS

The Wire: Fans and analysts praise his power production and hard work ethic as a top Triple-A prospect while noting a recent skid. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Joshua Baez — C0005 baseball call card

Call C0006 · filed 2026-07-13 06:18 UTC · OPEN · 31 days left

Edmundo Sosa

BREAKOUT

Sprint call. Board No. 1 by overlay: 107.6 EV95 with results 0.106 under the physics. The gap starts closing now — thirty days on the clock..

Metric
results on contact vs baseline
Threshold
0.016
Baseline
0.3224
Window
through 2026-08-12

In plain terms: We're saying the luck turns: his results on contact climb at least +0.016 over the filing baseline by August 12. The bat has already earned it — the stat line pays up, or we take the miss.

Resolves by computation, not argument.

2B · 5' 11" · 210 lb · age 30 · born Panama City, Panama · Philadelphia Phillies

Last 14 days: 4 G · .167 AVG · 0 HR · 1 RBI · .434 OPS

The Wire: Fans criticize Sosa's low batting average and question his lineup starts while reports note him playing left field and shortstop with modest recent results. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Edmundo Sosa — C0006 baseball call card

Call C0007 · filed 2026-07-13 06:18 UTC · OPEN · 36 days left

Sprint call. Results running a tenth of a run per ball in play over the contact quality. Gravity works, and it works on a schedule..

Metric
results on contact vs baseline
Threshold
-0.017
Baseline
0.4944
Window
through 2026-08-17

In plain terms: We're saying the results give it back: value on contact falls at least 0.017 from the filing baseline by August 17. The bat never supported the stat line; gravity does the rest — or we take the miss.

Resolves by computation, not argument.

LF · 6' 1" · 209 lb · age 28 · born Encinitas, CA · Colorado Rockies

Last 14 days: 13 G · .311 AVG · 3 HR · 8 RBI · .947 OPS

The Wire: Fans and analysts note Moniak finally playing well with a hot recent stretch of strong batting and Coors-boosted power as a fantasy and trade target. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Mickey Moniak — C0007 baseball call card

Call C0008 · filed 2026-07-13 06:18 UTC · OPEN · 46 days left

Sprint call. A +0.082 luck gap on league-average contact. The lease is up..

Metric
results on contact vs baseline
Threshold
-0.017
Baseline
0.4391
Window
through 2026-08-27

In plain terms: We're saying the results give it back: value on contact falls at least 0.017 from the filing baseline by August 27. The bat never supported the stat line; gravity does the rest — or we take the miss.

Correction on record: process disclosure: Gelof entered the 10-day IL on 2026-07-10, three days before this engine sprint auto-filed — the autofile stage did not check roster status. The call stands and resolves under the freeze rule, no voids; a roster gate now blocks IL-listed players at draft and at publish.

Resolves by computation, not argument.

3B · 6' 2" · 205 lb · age 26 · born Rehoboth Beach, DE · Athletics

Last 14 days: 5 G · .167 AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · .433 OPS

The Wire: Gelof placed on 10-day IL with right knee laceration after leaving game due to fence collision amid team injuries. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Zack Gelof — C0008 baseball call card

Call C0009 · filed 2026-07-13 06:18 UTC · OPEN · 53 days left

Will Smith

BREAKOUT

Sprint call. The loudest gap on the board — 0.113 — on a catcher slugging under his contact quality. Physics says the results arrive; fifty-two days to show it..

Metric
results on contact vs baseline
Threshold
0.025
Baseline
0.3313
Window
through 2026-09-03

In plain terms: We're saying the luck turns: his results on contact climb at least +0.025 over the filing baseline by September 3. The bat has already earned it — the stat line pays up, or we take the miss.

Resolves by computation, not argument.

C · 5' 10" · 195 lb · age 31 · born Louisville, KY · Los Angeles Dodgers

The Wire: Fans and analysts say the Dodgers miss Will Smith's steady pitch calling as he shows gradual improvement from neck injury with no firm return timeline yet. (X, as of 2026-07-13)

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Will Smith — C0009 baseball call card