Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-10

BOS @ STL

Home plate: Bill Miller

“Called a fair game and let the players decide it.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.4% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, STL
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Bill Miller called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Willson Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.21▲6 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Willson Contreras vs Dustin May
  2. 2+0.13▼2 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Pedro Pagés vs Connelly Early
  3. 3+0.13▼6 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Victor Scott II vs Tyler Samaniego

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Willson Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Iván Herrera — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.