Jarren Duran

B/T L/R · 6' 0" · 205 lb · born Corona, CA, USA · age 29 · draft 2018 rd 7 · MLB debut 2021-07-17

BREAKOUTMLB Breakout Board

The shape of the seasonEV95 112.2 → 108.3 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 109.66 mph — the boards use the season figure

Scout’s note

Duran, a 2018 seventh-round pick out of Corona, CA, owns a career .256 average with 63 home runs across 597 big-league games. The contact quality ranks with the best in our MLB sample while the results lag behind it — that gap is exactly what the breakout board hunts.

The line

Last 14 days: 11 G · .143 AVG · 1 HR · 6 RBI · .536 OPS

Year	Team	Lvl	G	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
2021	Boston Red Sox	MLB	33	107	17	23	2	10	2	4	40	.215	.577
2022	Boston Red Sox	MLB	58	204	23	45	3	17	7	14	63	.221	.646
2023	Boston Red Sox	MLB	102	332	46	98	8	40	24	24	90	.295	.828
2024	Boston Red Sox	MLB	160	671	111	191	21	75	34	54	160	.285	.834
2025	Boston Red Sox	MLB	157	620	86	159	16	84	24	60	169	.256	.774
2026	Boston Red Sox	MLB	87	340	41	66	13	45	14	27	113	.194	.609
MLB CAREER			597	2274	324	582	63	271	105	183	635	.256	.755

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →

Current signals

The read: Duran is hitting the ball harder than 91% of the 302 qualified MLB hitters in our sample (EV95 109.7; league median 106.1), while his results on contact run further below the physics than 89% of them. Loud bat, quieter stat line — the breakout shape; he ranks No. 19 of 20 on the breakout board.

EV95 (mph): 109.66
Luck gap (park-adj): -0.0533
Overlay score: 0.6681
WAR (season · MLB calc): 0.2
Balls in play: 225
Age: 29

The card rack

FlagshipJarren Duran #HA-24 · 2025 Topps Home Field Advantage · 283 recent sales

$38.48Raw$68.00PSA 9$188PSA 10$244BGS 10

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The rookieJarren Duran [Sapphire] #BCP-170 · 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects · 0 recent sales

—Raw—PSA 9—PSA 10—BGS 10

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of July 13, 2026 · trend prints nightly — 1 night archived so far · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Collect Jarren Duran

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