Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-10

CHC @ CIN

Home plate: Jim Wolf

“ABS had a long evening on this one.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.6% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CHC
5
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Jim Wolf called the 125 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 117 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Michael Busch — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Michael Busch — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).8Challenge 9: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼5 · 2-2 strike called ball
    JJ Bleday vs Shota Imanaga
  2. 2-0.23▼5 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Eugenio Suárez vs Shota Imanaga
  3. 3-0.20▼7 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Ke'Bryan Hayes vs Jake Woodford

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Michael Busch — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  8. 8Michael Busch — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  9. 9Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.